TOOLS / ASSUMPTION CHECK

Does your plan need an optimistic return?

Keep the portfolio. Change one assumption. See what happens to your savings goal, and what it would take to close the gap.

FREE · FIVE CURRENCY BASES · NO SIGNUP

Your starting point

The example is ready to use. Change the amounts or allocation to explore your own question.

Changes reference returns, risk and inflation. Amounts are reinterpreted in the selected currency, not converted at an exchange rate.

Allocation, inflation and fees

Weights must total 100%. Global shares and US aggregate bonds are unhedged. Cash is local to the selected currency.

−2 means two percentage points less annual compound growth, with the same allocation. This is your sensitivity scenario, not a forecasting house’s prediction.

USD · 10 YEARS · TODAY’S PURCHASING POWER

2.0 points less growth. $30,131 less at the end.

Same 60/30/10 allocation and saving. Only the compound-return assumption changes.

Reference assumptions

$201,923

6.23% gross annual growth

5.91% after the modelled fee · Below the target

Your alternative

$171,792

4.23% gross annual growth

3.92% after the modelled fee · Below the target

Steady-growth projections in today’s money. Reference $201,923; alternative $171,792 after 10 years.0k159k318kNowYear 10

Teal: reference · Gold: alternative · Dashed line: target. These smooth paths illustrate compounding, not how markets will behave.

What would close the gap?

To reach $300,000 in today’s money, the model needs $1,623 a month under your alternative, compared with $1,276 under the reference. Contributions stay constant in nominal money and arrive at month end.

Compare the numbers and assumptions
MeasureReferenceAlternative
Future nominal value$258,478$219,908
Today’s purchasing power$201,923$171,792
Required monthly saving$1,276$1,623

Annual inflation 2.5%; annual fee 0.3%. Reference portfolio volatility 10.56%. This projection does not simulate that volatility or estimate a success probability. Tax is excluded.

  • 60% AC World Equity: 7.00% asset growth; 16.78% volatility.
  • 30% US Aggregate Bonds: 4.80% asset growth; 4.76% volatility.
  • 10% Cash / Money Market: 3.10% asset growth; 0.67% volatility.

Reference: 2026 J.P. Morgan currency edition, imported 2026-09-02, with Portfolio Lab’s shared covariance and portfolio compounding calculation. Not a live market forecast. The published horizon is 10 to 15 years; shorter or longer projections are sensitivity illustrations.

Published currency workbook

Keep a comparison worth returning to

Save up to five snapshots on this device. Each keeps its original inputs and results; recalculating is a separate choice.

Already using Portfolio Lab? Open your saved portfolios. For uncertain paths and withdrawals, use the retirement simulator. Account portfolio saves and these device snapshots are separate.

Questions this page answers

Does this tell me whether I can retire?

No. It isolates the effect of a return assumption on a savings goal. It uses steady growth, excludes tax and does not simulate losses, withdrawals or success probabilities. Use the retirement simulator for uncertain paths.

Is the alternative a forecast?

It is a sensitivity you choose. A change of minus two means two percentage points less annual compound growth, holding the allocation and saving fixed. It is not a confidence interval or an institution’s forecast.

Does currency change more than the symbol?

Yes. Each supported base uses its own portfolio assumptions and covariance inputs. Inflation resets to that currency’s reference when you change it, and remains editable. Amounts are not converted at current exchange rates.

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